Sunday, May 30, 2010

MAFL 2010 : Round 10 Results

When seven of the weekend's eight contests produce the result that you expected - the right team winning head-to-head, the right team winning on handicap, in some games both - I think you've a reasonable expectation of profit.

No such luck.

Port Adelaide just had too much money riding on them, so the triumphs in the other seven contests nevertheless left those with the Recommended Portfolio down a little over 1 cent for the round. MIN#002 fared no better, his portfolio also dropping by about a cent, while the portfolio of MIN#017 did even worse, dropping over 5 cents.


Here's the MAFL Dashboard for the round.



Most tipsters managed 5 from 8 this week though Home Sweet Home recorded a 7 and Short-Term memory I scored only 3, dropping it to third on the ladder, two tips behind Easily Impressed I and one tip behind Easily Impressed II. Only five favourites won, so BKB made no impression on most of the tipsters above it and remains 6 tips from joint-leadership.

It's interesting to note that no tipster has a better tipping record over the past 5 rounds than it has over the season as a whole, a reflection of how difficult tipping has been recently.

On MARS Ratings, Geelong widened the gap between itself and the Pies and the Dogs. It now has a 16.5 Ratings point lead over the second placed Pies and a lead of almost 19 Ratings points over the third placed Dogs.

Three teams climbed a spot on the Ratings ladder (Fremantle, Essendon and the Eagles), and three fell one spot (Carlton, Adelaide and Port Adelaide). Eleven teams are now rated 990+, and with a rating of 1,000 generally sufficient to see a team make the finals, we can look forward to a tightly contested second half of the season.

BKB still leads the Margin Tipsters on the Mean APE metric, but has been joined by ELO in the race for Median APE honours. LAMP has narrowed the gap between it and BKB on the Mean APE measure, knocking more than 0.6 points from its average this week while BKB knocked only 0.5 points from its average; LAMP is now just over 1 point per game behind BKB.

HELP did nothing much this weekend, correctly tipping just 3 of 8 line results and generally performing much as you'd expect a naive tipster to perform.

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